Pandemic-related disruptions, increasing inequalities in access to vaccines, and the diversion of resources from routine immunization are leaving too many children without protection against measles and other vaccine-preventable diseases.

The risk for large outbreaks has increased as communities relax social distancing practices and other preventive measures for COVID-19 implemented during the height of the pandemic. In addition, with millions of people being displaced due to conflicts and crises including in Ukraine, Ethiopia, Somalia and Afghanistan, disruptions in routine immunization and COVID-19 vaccination services, lack of clean water and sanitation, and overcrowding increase the risk of vaccine-preventable disease outbreaks.

Almost 17,338 measles cases were reported worldwide in January and February 2022, compared to 9,665 during the first two months of 2021. As measles is very contagious, cases tend to show up quickly when vaccination levels decline. The agencies are concerned that outbreaks of measles could also forewarn outbreaks of other diseases that do not spread as rapidly.

Apart from its direct effect on the body, which can be lethal, the measles virus also weakens the immune system and makes a child more vulnerable to other infectious diseases like pneumonia and diarrhoea, including for months after the measles infection itself among those who survive. Most cases occur in settings that have faced social and economic hardships due to COVID-19, conflict, or other crises, and have chronically weak health system infrastructure and insecurity.

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According to the National Weather Forecasting Centre of the India Meteorological Department (IMD):

An active Western Disturbance lies as a middle and upper level cyclonic circulation over Central Pakistan & neighbourhood with its induced cyclonic circulation over southwest Rajasthan & neighbourhood at lower levels.

A north-south zone of wind confluence also observed today from North Punjab to Northeast Arabian Sea, with strong interaction between south westerly in association with the above Western Disturbance and lower level moist southeasterlies.

All these favorable meteorological features likely to persist till 05th January, 2021 and continue to cause moderate to intense wet spell with fairly widespread to widespread precipitation accompanied with thunderstorm, lightning and hailstorm at isolated over northwest India till night of 5th January with peak activities on 3rd and 4th over the Plains (Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi, West Uttar Pradesh and north Rajasthan ) and on 4th and 5th Jan 2021 over western Himalayan region(Jammu & Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit-Baltistan & Muzaffarabad, Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand).

After cessation of wet spell, fresh northerly-northwesterly winds likely to set in over Plains of northwest India causing cold wave to sever cold wave conditions at isolated places over Punjab, Haryana and north Rajasthan from 7th January 2021 onwards.

Weather Warning during next 5 days *

04 January (Day 2):

Heavy rain/Snow very likely at isolated places over Jammu & Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit-Baltistan, Muzaffarabad and Himachal Pradesh.

Heavy rainfall very likely at isolated places over Punjab and Haryana & Chandigarh.

Thunderstorm accompanied with lightning and hail at isolated places very likely over Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi, West Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan and West Madhya Pradesh; with lightning over Jammu & Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit-Baltistan, Muzaffarabad, Kerala & Mahe and Lakshadweep.

Cold Wave conditions very likely in isolated pockets over Saurashtra & Kutch.

Cold Day Conditions very likely in isolated pockets over Punjab and Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi.

Dense fog very likely at isolated places over West Rajasthan and Odisha.

05 January (Day 3):

Heavy rain/Snow very likely at isolated places over Jammu & Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit-Baltistan, Muzaffarabad, Uttarakhand and Himachal Pradesh.

Heavy rainfall very likely at isolated places over Tamilnadu, Puducherry & Karaikal.

Thunderstorm accompanied with lightning and hail at isolated places very likely over Jammu & Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit-Baltistan, Muzaffarabad, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand and West Uttar Pradesh; with lightning over Tamilnadu, Puducherry & Karaikal, Kerala & Mahe and Lakshadweep.

Cold Wave conditions very likely in isolated pockets over Saurashtra & Kutch.

Dense fog very likely at isolated places over West Rajasthan and Odisha.

06 January (Day 4):

Dense Fog likely in isolated pockets over Punjab and Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi, West Uttar Pradesh and Rajasthan.

Heavy rainfall likely at isolated places over Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal and Kerala & Mahe.

Thunderstorm accompanied with lightning at isolated places over Coastal & South Interior Karnataka, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal, Kerala & Mahe and Lakshadweep.

Cold Wave to severe cold wave conditions likely in isolated pockets over Saurashtra & Kutch; Cold Wave conditions likely over Punjab, Haryana and Rajasthan.

07 January (Day 5):

Dense Fog likely in isolated pockets over Punjab and Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi, Uttar Pradesh and Rajasthan.

Thunderstorm accompanied with lightning at isolated places over Coastal & South Interior Karnataka, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal, and Kerala & Mahe.

Cold Wave to severe cold wave conditions likely in isolated pockets over Saurashtra & Kutch; Cold Wave conditions likely over Punjab, Haryana and Rajasthan.

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Close watch is to be maintained. River Indravathi is likely to rise in Dantewada, Narayanpur and Bijapur Districts in Chhattisgarh. River Sabari is likely to rise rapidly in Koraput, Malkangiri Districts of Odisha and in Sukma District in Chhattisgarh and East Godavari District of Andhra Pradesh. Inflows into Balimela, Upper Kolab, Machhkund and Upper Indravathi Projects are also likely to rise but the storages in these reservoirs are 25% to 52% only and the inflows will help in increasing the storage in these reservoirs.

River Krishna is also likely to get heavy inflows into P D Jurala in Jogulamba Gadwal District of Telangana and to Srisailam Dam in Kurnool District of Andhra Pradesh. Since the dam is about 65% filled, it is expected that with inflows for next 4 to 5 days may increase its storage substantially. Due to extremely heavy rainfall in downstream areas of river Krishna in Warangal, Khammam, Nalgonda and Krishna Districts of Telangana and Andhra Pradesh, river Krishna at Prakasam Barrage is getting inflows above its threshold limit and inflow forecasts have been issued for the same.

Gujarat, Maharashtra &Goa

There is likelihood of rise in Water Levels in the basins of Lower Mahi, Lower Narmada, Lower Tapi and Damanganga. Rivers Narmada, Tapi, Damanganga are likely to rise rapidly in association with rains forecasted for next 4-5 days. Madhuban Dam in Valsad District is likely to get heavy inflows due to the forecasted rainfall. At present, the Dam has storage of 67.09%. Close watch is to be maintained and releases if any has to be done, it should be with due care and after informing all downstream districts including Union Territories of Daman.

Other Dams in this region such as Kadana Dam on river Mahi, Panam Dam on river Panam, Sardar Sarovar Dam on river Narmada, Ukai Dam on river Tapiare are also expected to get increased inflows. Hatnur Dam in Jalgaon District of Maharashtra is likely to get an inflow of around 1505 cumec till today night and Ukai Dam is also expected to receive around 3703 cumec till tomorrow morning. Due to forecast of extremely heavy rain in their catchment, there is likelihood of sudden rise in inflows which may have to be regulated properly following the rule curves and Standard Operating Procedures (SOP) after informing all downstream Districts well in advance.

As the rainfall of higher intensity is likely to continue for at least 1-2 days, there is likelihood of rise in levels of rivers along the West Coast in Maharashtra & Goa in the West Flowing Rivers between Tapi and Tadri. Necessary precautions have to be taken in Road and Rail Bridges which pass through these areas as they are prone to submergence. Care should be taken to regulate road and rail traffic to avoid anyincidents.

Rajasthan & MadhyaPradesh

Due to forecast of heavy to very heavy rainfall in East Rajasthan and West Madhya Pradesh for next 3-4 days, there is likelihood of rise in Water Levels in rivers such as Chambal, Mahi, Sabarmati, Kalisindh, Banas (both East and West Flowing), etc. Most of the dams in these rivers are having storage between 35 to 70%, care should be exercised to monitor the situation very closely. Releases if any has to be done, it should be after advance information to all concerned downstream districts and lower riparian States. Inflows have started increasing in Panchana Dam, and Parwan Pickup Weir and have crossed the threshold limit. Inflow Forecast have been issued for these reservoirs in Rajasthan.

Himachal Pradesh, Punjab, Haryana, Uttarakhand, UttarPradesh

Due to forecast of heavy to very heavy rainfall in these States in the next 2 to 3 days, there is likelihood of rise in Water Levels in rivers such as Sutlej, Ravi, Beas, Ghaggar, Yamuna, Bhagirathi, Alaknanda, Ganga, Ramganga, Sarda, Sarju and Ghaghra. There is likelihood of flash floods in some of the hill districts in these states in association with cloud burst. Necessary precautions have to be taken for possible landslides and blockages of river flows due to landslides in high ranges of these states.

Karnataka &Tamilnadu

Due to continuous inflows from the previous spell of rainfall, most of the dams in Cauvery Basin have reached very close to 90-97% storage. Any local rainfall in association with convective activity may also help in adding to the flow in these basins. Round the clock watch has to be maintained for proper reservoir operation and information to all downstream Districts as well as to lower riparian States well in advance. The releases from Kabini and Krishna Raja Sagar through river are becoming in flows into Mettur Dam whichis likely to get slow in flows for next 3-4days.

Most of the dams in Krishna Basin are also having storage between 86% to 97%. Hidkal Dam on River Ghataprabha is filled to 97% of its full capacity and hence close watch has to be maintained for any increased inflows likely due to the very heavy rainfall forecasted in Madhya Maharashtra during the next 2-3 days. Due to heavy rain in Madhya Maharashtra, Hidkal and Malaprabha are also getting heavy inflows.

Due to river flows from upstream areas of river Krishna, Almatti Dam and Narayanpur Dam are getting heavy inflows and since these dams are filled around 90% to 92% of the capacity, both the dams are releasing the excess flow. There is forecast of heavy to very heavy rainfall in Madhya Maharashtra for next 4-5 days. Due to this there is likelihood of rise in water levels in Upper Krishna Basin in the upstream of Almatti Dam.

It is advised that close watch has to be maintained for increased inflows likely during the next 2-3 days. Releases from any of these reservoirs may be done as per rule curve and standard operating procedure.

Bihar, Jharkhand and Gangetic WestBengal

Many of the rivers in Bihar continue to flow in Severe to Above Normal Flood Situation with falling trend. The situation will continue for another 3-4 days.

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At a weekly meeting of the BJP parliamentary party, PM Modi asked Parliamentary Affairs Minister Prahlad Joshi to give the names of ministers who had been absent despite being rostered for parliament duty.

PM ADVISE 

The Prime Minister advised his party’s parliamentarians to “work beyond the sphere of politics,” according to BJP leaders present at the meeting.

Stressing on the water crisis, PM Modi reportedly asked lawmakers to sit with officials in their constituencies and discuss people’s issues.

“MPs must do some unique work in their constituencies, work with the local administration and participate in social work,” PM Modi said .

WORK IN MISSION MODE

Even earlier this month, the Prime Minister had berated party MPs for skipping parliament.

the Prime Minister said that Members of Parliament must also work beyond politics. For instance, he cited the issue of water scarcity.

According to Prime Minister Modi, the MPs must take up such issues with local authorities and involve common people in the same. He asked them to work in collaboration with district administrations.

The meeting of the BJP Parliamentary Party was held at the Parliament Library building. It was attended by all BJP members from the Lok Sabha and the Rajya Sabha, including Union Home Minister Amit Shah.

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