Our prediction

MAHARASHTRA ASSEMBLY 

TOTAL 288   SEATS

BJP 128 TO 134 

SHIVSENA 65 to 73

CONG  28-34

NCP 29-32

OTHER 12 TO 17

HARAYANA ASSEMBLY

TOTAL   90 SEATS

BJP   53 TO 65

CONG  8 TO 12

OTHERS 8 TO 13

As per to the survey done by other agencies  the BJP-led NDA is expected to get 182-206 seats in the 288-member Maharashtra Assembly, leaving the Congress-led UPA much behind with 72-98 seats.

Among the regions of the state, Mumbai is expected to give 30-34 seats to the NDA, Konkan 32-36 seats, Marathwada 23-27 seats, North Maharashtra 19-23, Vidarbha 37-41 and West Maharashtra 41-45 seats.

The UPA is expected to bag 0-6 seats in Mumbai region, 2-6 in Konkan, 18-22 seats in Marathwada region, 12-16 in North Maharashtra region, 16-20 in Vidarbha region and 24-28 in West Maharashtra region.

2014 the BJP had got 122 seats and while Shivsena had got 63. On the other hand, the Congress had bagged 42 seats and its partner NCP had got 41. vote share of bjp was 31.15 per cent, the Shiv Sena 19.3 per cent and Congress 18 per cent. This time vote share of five percent likely to swing as slowdown ,PMC  bank scam and downtrend on MODIs popularity may be reason . 

In Haryana, the BJP is expected to bag 53 to 65 seats in the 90-member Assembly, while the Congress is projected to get only between 8 to 12 seats. others like INLD will get only 5 to 7 seats .

Region wise, the BJP is expected to get 21 seats from Ahirwal, 12 from Bagar, 10 from Jatland and 20 from Kurukshetra, as per assessment of poll pundits .

The BJP is expected to get 42.5 per cent, the Congress 21.4%, the Jannayak Janata Party (JJP) 9.3 per cent and others 21.4%.

The results of the upcoming Assembly elections will be announced on October 24.

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